As most of the public sector Indian banks came
out with their Q4 results along with the annual results for the fiscal year
2013-14 last week, a sense of despondency gripped the Indian banking market with
red alarms ringing in RBI and Govt. offices. The reason behind this alarming
response to the annual results of the various banks, according to the industry
experts, was quite simple. More than 23 of the 27 nationalized banks had their
NPA’s increased in the period 2013-14 with actual profits realized being
less than expected profits. More than 5 public sector banks had their profits
in red. Except for Bank of Baroda and a few other banks (Q4 result of State
Bank Of India hasn’t been announced yet), which managed to salvage and restore
some confidence among the investors in the banking industry with their positive
results, all other banks struggled to keep the momentum going.
So, what all this turmoil in India’s
banking industry convey us? Is India
on the brink of a temporary financial/banking collapse? The answers to the
above questions seem ominous and menacing in short. Increasing Non performing
assets (NPA) has been a major problem that India has faced for quite some time
now. The NPA’s have increased to 3.02% of the total credits in 2013-14 as
compared to 2.27% in 2012-13. These percentage numbers might not look haunting
until we have a clue of the total credit numbers that we are dealing with. The
total credit that we are dealing with is Rs. 56.57 lakh crore. Yes, you read it
right. That amount is equivalent to 4 times of India’s budget for the year
2013-14. Further, with the performance and profitability of the sectors like
textiles, infrastructure, basic metals, and chemicals, which account for more
than 60% of the total outstanding credit, going down, we can expect the
situation to get worse.
So, how did we reach such an adverse situation? Banking industry reached such a
dire state today because of our excessive and blind focus on opening more and
more banks to achieve the goal of financial inclusion, without empowering our
banks with the opportunities to compete in a fair manner by giving them the
chances to absorb profits. 27 nationalized banks competing along with numerous private
players, in the form of private banks and NBFC’s, for a share in a market and
economy which was still in a nascent stage killed the growth of our banking
institutions and ultimately led to losses. Instead of allowing a few banks to
operate and expand their businesses, we opened a large number of the banking
institutions at the same time in order to achieve our long desired goal of
“financial inclusion”. In running for that goal, we increased the competition
beyond a feasible limit for the industry to be profitable. Banking is an
industry which requires a huge amount of operating costs accompanied with
higher risks. Therefore, it is next to impossible for small banking
institutions to compete with larger players in the market and hence continue
making profits. This affects the overall credibility of smaller banking
institutions, which is definitely not good for the health of the Indian banking
industry. Hence, it is imperative on the central bank of the country i.e.
Reserve Bank of India to be prudent and wise while trading off between
achieving financial inclusion and maintaining stability of the banking
institutions. Stability of the banking institutions can’t be sacrificed for a
unidirectional aim of realizing financial inclusion. There has to be a balance
between the two. Hope this balance is maintained.